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The Promise of AI and Brain Imaging for ADHD Diagnosis: When and How Do We Get There?

Yanli Zhang-James, MD, PHD

Diagnosing attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) has long relied on self-reported symptoms, clinical observations, and standardized rating scales like the DSM-5 criteria. However, these assessments are prone to bias, subjectivity, and variability across clinicians and patients, leading to delayed or missed diagnoses, particularly among girls, whose symptoms often go unrecognized. Without timely diagnosis and intervention, untreated ADHD can result in academic struggles, social difficulties, and long-term mental health challenges.

Can artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) provide a more objective, data-driven approach to ADHD diagnosis? Recent advancements in brain imaging techniques, such as magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and electroencephalogram (EEG), suggest that AI-powered models may help identify neurobiological markers of ADHD, improving early detection, diagnosis, and even personalized intervention strategies.

A growing body of research is exploring how AI can analyze data, such as MRI scans and EEG recordings, to facilitate ADHD diagnosis, assess treatment outcomes, and identify biomarkers associated with the disorder. In this blog, we provide an overview on how AI/ML-based imaging models have been examined to enhance ADHD diagnosis, highlighting both their potential and the challenges that must be addressed before they can be adopted in clinical practice.

How AI/ML Can Improve ADHD Diagnosis

The goal of AI-driven ADHD diagnostics is to develop automated, objective, and reproducible diagnostic tools that go beyond human interpretation. AI-based models can be trained to extract meaningful features from MRI and EEG data, identifying neurobiological patterns that distinguish individuals with ADHD from neurotypical individuals.

Many of the subtle brain differences seen in ADHD are not readily apparent to even the most well-trained radiologists, such as:

  • Variations in brain structure (e.g., size and thickness of specific regions)
  • Differences in brain connectivity (how different regions communicate)
  • Altered brain activity patterns (measured through EEG)

AI/ML models, however, can process thousands of small variations simultaneously, recognizing complex patterns far beyond human capabilities. This allows AI to develop more precise and data-driven diagnostic predictions.

Key Findings in AI-Based ADHD Diagnosis: A Critical Review

Over the past decade, numerous studies have applied AI/ML to MRI and EEG data for ADHD classification. However, reported model accuracy varies widely—from barely above chance (50%) to over 90% in some cases. Our systematic review of the literature has identified several key takeaways:

1. Open-Access Datasets Drive Progress

A major jumpstart in ADHD AI research came with the 2012 ADHD-200 Global Competition, which provided an open-access dataset of 776 participants for model development. Since then, ADHD research has steadily improved due to:

  • More sophisticated AI algorithms
  • Better data preprocessing and feature selection
  • Data-balancing strategies to address class imbalances
  • Despite these advancements, larger, high-quality datasets remain essential for continued progress.

2. The Persistent Challenge of Small Sample Sizes

  • Many studies still rely on small datasets, which can lead to overfitting and inflated accuracy estimates.
  • Deep learning models require large and diverse datasets, yet publicly available ADHD MRI/EEG datasets remain limited.
  • Even larger datasets, like those from the ENIGMA ADHD Working Group, are still too small for AI models to generalize effectively across populations.

3. Methodological Pitfalls in Current Research

  • Many studies, particularly earlier studies and some with very small sample sizes, report cross-validation accuracy instead of using held-out test sets, leading to overestimated performance.
  • Data imbalance remains a major issue. ADHD datasets often have demographic biases (e.g., more males than females), which can skew AI models.
  • Few studies conduct rigorous generalizability assessments—a crucial step before clinical implementation.

4. The Need for Standardized and Rigorous Reporting

  • Many studies lack stringent reporting practice, making it difficult to compare results across research that already varies in datasets, methodologies, and analytical approaches.
  • Efforts like GREMLIN (Guidelines for Reporting Machine Learning Investigations in Neuropsychiatry) are working to improve rigor, reproducibility and transparency in AI-based research in Psychiatry. Adopting such standards in ADHD research will be essential for promoting clear documentation of methodologies, improving more vigorous validation and data preprocessing strategies, as well as developing fair and transparent AI models that can be translated into useful clinical applications.

The Road Ahead: Challenges and Opportunities

While AI-powered models hold immense promise, several challenges must be addressed before they can be widely adopted in clinical settings. However, these challenges also present opportunities for modern medicine to harness AI to improve mental health care.

1. Larger and More Diverse Datasets Are Essential

  • High-quality, open-access datasets are crucial for AI model training.
  • At the same time, data privacy and security must be prioritized to protect patient confidentiality.

2. Multi-Modality Approaches Will Improve Accuracy

  • Future AI models should integrate multiple data sources, including:
  • Neuroimaging (MRI, EEG)
  • Genetic data
  • Clinical assessments
  • Behavioral and socioeconomic factors

This holistic approach could lead to more accurate and clinically useful predictions.

3. Addressing Bias and Improving Representation

  • AI models must be trained on diverse populations to prevent biased predictions.
  • If not carefully managed, AI could perpetuate existing healthcare disparities rather than reduce them.

4. AI Should Complement, Not Replace, Clinical Judgment

  • AI models should function as decision-support tools, not replacements for clinicians.
  • Future AI models must be transparent and interpretable, ensuring that psychiatrists can understand and trust their predictions.

Conclusion

AI/ML-driven approaches using MRI and EEG data offer exciting possibilities for objective ADHD diagnosis. This field has benefited tremendously from open-access datasets, collaborative research efforts and advancements in AI algorithms.

However, to transition from research to clinical practice, we must address data limitations, methodological flaws, and ethical concerns. Responsible AI development, standardized and rigorious reporting guidelines, and clinician-AI collaboration will be key to harnessing AI’s full potential in personalized mental health care.

The promise of AI in ADHD diagnosis is real. But when and how we get there depends on collaborative, ethical, and data-driven innovation.

Citations:

Zhang-James, Y., Razavi, A. S., Hoogman, M., Franke, B., & Faraone, S. V. (2023). Machine Learning and MRI-based Diagnostic Models for ADHD: Are We There Yet? Journal of Attention Disorders, 27(4), 335-353. https://doi.org/10.1177/10870547221146256

Quinn TP, Hess JL, Marshe VS, Barnett MM, Hauschild AC, Maciukiewicz M, Elsheikh SSM, Men X, Schwarz E, Trakadis YJ, Breen MS, Barnett EJ, Zhang-James Y, Ahsen ME, Cao H, Chen J, Hou J, Salekin A, Lin PI, Nicodemus KK, Meyer-Lindenberg A, Bichindaritz I, Faraone SV, Cairns MJ, Pandey G, Müller DJ, Glatt SJ; Machine Learning in Psychiatry (MLPsych) Consortium. A primer on the use of machine learning to distil knowledge from data in biological psychiatry. Mol Psychiatry. 2024 Feb;29(2):387-401. doi: 10.1038/s41380-023-02334-2. Epub 2024 Jan 4. PMID: 38177352; PMCID: PMC11228968.

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